— Topics —
Body-Weight Set Point & Homeostasis
2025.12.30
Biological Responses Driving Weight Rebound After Weight Loss
Summary
・When individuals lose weight through calorie restriction, adaptive responses involving coordinated changes in metabolism, neuroendocrine function, autonomic regulation, and behavior are triggered, which may promote weight rebound. These responses help explain why calorie-restricted diets often fail to produce lasting weight loss.
(1) Metabolic adaptation
Calorie-restricted weight loss reduces resting energy expenditure beyond what would be predicted from changes in body composition. This adaptation occurs in both formerly obese and naturally lean individuals, creating conditions that favor weight rebound.
(2) Endocrine function
Hormones secreted by the gastrointestinal tract and adipose tissue, including leptin and ghrelin, regulate appetite, food intake, and energy expenditure. Calorie restriction can reduce satiety and increase hunger, thereby promoting overeating.
(3) Food reward and addiction-like processes
Palatable foods activate reward-related neural circuits through neurotransmitters such as dopamine. The desire to experience this pleasure again can motivate further eating. Calorie restriction and fasting may heighten the reward value of food, especially energy-dense, highly palatable foods.
(4) Inhibitory control and binge eating
Short-term dieting success may result from enhanced inhibitory responses that temporarily suppress the desire to eat. However, prolonged dietary restriction may strengthen reward-related responses and weaken inhibitory control, making cravings increasingly difficult to resist.
(5) Fat cell size and number
Weight loss reduces the size of adipocytes (fat cells), but their number generally remains unchanged. Smaller fat cells may break down less fat and become more prone to storing it again, thereby promoting the regain of lost body fat.
(6) Intestinal starvation
Unlike the responses described in (1)–(5), my proposed intestinal starvation hypothesis suggests that the body may interpret the complete digestion of food, leaving no undigested matter in the intestinal tract, as a signal of starvation.
Conclusion
Some researchers argue that the biological forces promoting weight rebound after weight loss are extremely powerful and difficult to overcome.
In my view, rather than trying to overcome these responses, long-term weight management requires adopting eating and lifestyle habits that minimize their activation in the first place.
【Full text】
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Contents
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- Various mechanisms that promote weight rebound
(1)Metabolic adaptation
(2) Endocrine Function
(3) Food reward and addiction-like processes
(4) Inhibitory control and binge eating
(5) Fat cell size and number
(6) Intestinal starvation - Conclusion
- Various mechanisms that promote weight rebound
Introduction
The conventional prescription that people with obesity should “eat less and exercise more” remains widely used as a standard approach to weight management, despite repeated reports of its low long-term success rate [1].
At the same time, recent findings from genetics, epidemiology, physiology, and related fields have increasingly shown that body weight and body fat are biologically regulated within a certain range. These findings are helping to establish a biological framework that may explain why long-term success with weight-loss dieting is so difficult to achieve.
Following weight loss, adaptive responses are triggered through coordinated changes in metabolism, neuroendocrine function, autonomic nervous system activity, and even behavior. These responses have been shown to resist the maintenance of weight loss [4].
In this article, I will briefly introduce the biological mechanisms that may promote post-weight-loss weight rebound—or, in some cases, further weight gain. I will also explain how these mechanisms relate to, and differ from, my proposed “intestinal starvation” theory.
【Related Article】
The Spread of Dieting May Be Fueling the Rise in Obesity
1.Various mechanisms that promote weight rebound
(1) Metabolic adaptation
Energy restriction is associated with a reduction in resting energy expenditure (REE) [5]. Many studies have reported that behavioral weight loss leads to a greater decrease in both resting and total energy expenditure than would be predicted based on changes in body composition and the thermic effect of food [4,6].
This phenomenon, known as adaptive thermogenesis (AT) or metabolic adaptation, creates conditions that favor regaining lost weight [7].
Metabolic adaptation can be viewed as the body's survival response: when the body perceives a state of starvation, it reduces the energy cost of living in an attempt to prolong survival.
Interestingly, this response also appears to occur in individuals with obesity and does not seem to be diminished by the amount of energy stored as body fat [7,8].

(Author: rawpixel.com / Source: Freepik)
However, regarding the timing of its onset, the evidence is inconsistent [9]. Some studies have detected adaptive thermogenesis (AT) within a week of energy restriction, which has been associated with rapid declines in insulin secretion, depletion of glycogen stores, and loss of intracellular and extracellular fluid [10].
In contrast, a growing body of evidence suggests that underfeeding-associated AT takes weeks to develop, in association with reduced leptin secretion following the loss of body fat, among other physiological adaptations [9,11,12].
Although the persistence of AT also remains a subject of debate [7], some studies indicate that this metabolic adaptation may continue for years even after energy balance has been reestablished at a lower weight [13].
(2) Endocrine function
A number of hormones secreted from the gastrointestinal tract and adipose tissue are known to play key roles in regulating appetite, food intake, energy expenditure, and body weight [14,15].
Leptin is a hormone secreted by fat cells that helps regulate body weight by suppressing appetite and influencing energy expenditure. High leptin levels signal to the brain that energy stores are sufficient, whereas low leptin levels indicate that energy stores are low [16].
It has been shown that leptin levels drop within 24 hours of energy restriction [17]. Interestingly, many studies have reported a greater reduction in leptin levels than would be expected based on the loss of body fat [18,19].
It has been suggested that the primary role of leptin may be the prevention of starvation, rather than weight regulation per se [15,20]. When leptin levels fall below a certain threshold—the point at which specific physiological responses are triggered (Note1)—starvation defense mechanisms are activated, even if substantial fat stores remain [17]. This leads to a reduction in metabolic rate and physical activity, as well as an increase in hunger [21,22].
Furthermore, in individuals who have lost weight, an increase in the appetite-stimulating hormone ghrelin, along with decreases in the post-meal satiety signals peptide YY (PYY) and cholecystokinin (CCK), has been observed [23]. As a result, diet-induced weight loss may simultaneously reduce satiety and increase hunger, potentially promoting overeating [15].
Note 1: It has been suggested that this threshold rises as fat mass increases [17].
(3) Food reward and addiction-like processes
Food reward refers to the brain's reward response to food, which generates pleasure and satisfaction from eating, as well as the motivation to eat again. This process involves activation of the brain's reward circuitry, where neurotransmitters such as dopamine are released, leading to feelings of pleasure and increased appetite.

(Author: rawpixel.com / Source: Freepik)
The regulation of food intake is influenced by a close interaction between homeostatic and non-homeostatic (hedonic) factors.
The former is driven by the body's nutritional needs, monitoring available energy in the blood and fat stores to maintain energy balance. The latter, in contrast, is largely associated with the brain's reward system [24,25].
Although food intake is primarily regulated by homeostatic mechanisms, reward-related signals can easily override normal satiety signals that help maintain a stable body weight, potentially leading to overeating [25,26].
Modern neuroimaging studies using fMRI have shown that both nutritional status (e.g. hunger vs. satiety) and different food stimuli (e.g. high- vs. low-calorie foods, appetizing vs. bland foods) can alter activity in the brain's reward circuitry [27–29].
Recent studies in healthy individuals indicate that short- or long-term caloric restriction, as well as fasting, may increase the reward value of food—especially high-calorie, palatable foods [27,30].
These findings may help explain why calorie-restricted diets often fail in the long term [28,30].
Food addiction: similarities and differences from drug addiction
While drugs and food share certain characteristics, they also differ in important ways.
Drugs of abuse, such as cocaine, act directly on the brain's dopamine circuitry, whereas food influences these circuits more indirectly. Signals from taste and smell, nutrient sensors in the digestive tract [31], and hormones released during digestion and nutrient absorption all communicate with the brain, thereby influencing the dopamine system [25].

Although it remains debated whether specific food components such as sugar, sweeteners, salt, or fat can promote addiction-like processes [25], highly palatable and calorie-dense foods—such as chocolate, ice cream, cookies, and salty snacks—can serve as powerful rewards.
In today's stress-filled society, these foods provide pleasure and comfort, leading some researchers to draw parallels between "food addiction" and drug addiction [32,33].
(4) Inhibitory control and binge eating
Food intake is primarily regulated by three interacting neural systems: the homeostatic, reward-related, and inhibitory systems [15].
The inhibitory system—mainly involving the brain region responsible for self-control and decision-making—helps regulate eating behavior and inhibit excessive food intake [34].
Cognitive control of food reward
In humans, the urge to seek and consume palatable foods can be moderated by executive functions—the cognitive processes involved in self-control and decision-making.
One of the central dilemmas in daily life is balancing one's internal goals (e.g. cutting back on sweets to maintain health and weight control) against the immediate reward of eating tempting foods. This conflict is particularly challenging when highly desirable foods, such as donuts or pizza, are readily available [25].

(Source: Freepik)
The short-term success of dieting suggests that increased inhibitory neural responses can temporarily override the neurobiological drive to consume highly palatable, high-calorie foods [35].
However, recent evidence indicates that reward-related neural activity also increases alongside inhibitory neural activity [36].
In simple terms, as dietary restriction continues, it may become increasingly difficult to resist the urge to eat appetizing, high-reward foods.
Prospective studies in young individuals, as well as rodent experiments, suggest that severe caloric restriction, characterized by 24-hour fasting or fat-free diets, may increase the risk of developing binge eating and bulimia in the future [37,38].
(5) Fat cell size and number
Weight-loss dieting may reduce the size, but not the number, of fat cells [39]. It remains unclear whether hyperplasia (an increase in adipocyte number) contributes to weight rebound in weight-suppressed individuals [15]. However, in a study of obese rats, adipocyte hyperplasia was observed following refeeding after fasting [40].
In humans, a similar possibility has been suggested.
Normally, when energy availability is low, triglycerides stored in adipose tissue are broken down to supply energy to the body's cells.
However, the rate of lipolysis (fat breakdown) appears to be related to adipocyte size and cell surface area [41], meaning that as fat cells shrink, their rate of lipolysis tends to decline.
If size-reduced adipocytes undergo functional changes that favor fat storage over fat breakdown, they may gradually re-expand, potentially promoting the regain of lost body fat.[15,42,43].

(Author: brgfx / Source: Freepik)
(6) Intestinal starvation
The mechanisms described in Sections (1)–(5) are generally thought to represent a series of anti-starvation (or anti-weight-loss) responses (Note 2) that occur in association with energy restriction and weight loss [15].
In contrast, my intestinal starvation hypothesis proposes that when all ingested food is completely digested and no undigested matter remains in the intestinal tract, the body may interpret this condition as a starvation signal.
Intestinal starvation may occur not only during strict dietary restriction for weight loss (e.g. skipping meals or eating extremely small amounts of food), but also during more moderate dieting or even everyday eating habits that are not intended for weight loss, such as skipping breakfast, eating a light lunch, having dinner late at night, or eating only two meals a day.
Furthermore, in my intestinal starvation hypothesis, adaptive responses to intestinal starvation may lead to weight gain suggestive of an upward shift in the body-weight set point. This weight gain may involve not only body fat but also lean body mass, including skeletal muscle. Therefore, this mechanism may differ from conventional models of obesity, in which weight gain is explained primarily by an increase in body fat.
【Related article】
How Intestinal Starvation Can Lead to Weight Gain
Note 2: Because these responses are activated despite adequate energy stores, some researchers prefer the term “anti-weight-loss” rather than anti-starvation mechanisms [15].
2. Conclusion
At present, the causal relationship between the biological responses described in Sections (1)–(5) and post-weight-loss weight rebound has not yet been fully established [15]. Nevertheless, many people who have experienced weight rebound after dieting may find that these mechanisms are consistent with their own experiences.
Some researchers have pointed out that the biological forces that resist weight loss and promote the recovery of lost weight are extremely powerful and difficult to overcome for most individuals attempting to lose weight through behavioral interventions. They have also suggested that achieving long-term weight loss will require the development of interventions that weaken these biological responses themselves [15].
I generally agree with this perspective, although my approach differs somewhat.
In my opinion, achieving long-term weight loss depends not only on developing interventions that weaken these biological responses, but also on adopting dietary and lifestyle habits that minimize activation of the body's anti-starvation (or anti-weight-loss) mechanisms in the first place.
Specifically, it is important to appropriately regulate energy intake while reducing the consumption of refined carbohydrates and ultra-processed foods.
At the same time, I believe that naturally derived foods—such as vegetables, seaweed, dairy products, minimally processed meat and fish, and nuts—should be actively included in the diet.
In particular, I consider it beneficial to consume adequate amounts of foods containing less digestible components, as well as foods that take longer to digest (Note 2).

Maintaining this type of dietary pattern may help prolong satiety and reduce feelings of hunger. Over the long term, I propose that it may also facilitate the transmission, via the gut-brain axis, of information to the brain indicating that food remains sufficiently available.
Note 2. I do not believe that foods high in fat should necessarily be avoided. Depending on the overall composition of the diet and how such foods are consumed, they can be incorporated appropriately.
【Related Article】
Weight Loss Without Rebounding Requires Two Steps
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2024.10.14
The Growing Importance of Body-Weight Set Point Theory: How Can the Recent Rise in Obesity Be Explained?
Summary
(1)The body weight set point model
In 1953, Gordon C. Kennedy proposed that the accumulation of body fat may be physiologically regulated. Later, in 1982, nutritionists William Bennett and Joel Gurin expanded on this concept and developed the “set-point theory.”
(2)Body-weight homeostasis
When an individual loses weight, the body not only reduces energy expenditure beyond what would be predicted from changes in body composition and the thermic effect of food, but also increases appetite through hormonal regulation and alters food preferences. As a result, conditions are created that make weight rebound more likely.
In contrast, temporary weight gain caused by overeating is also thought to trigger compensatory mechanisms that act to return body weight toward its set-point range. However, these mechanisms may be weaker than those that resist weight loss.
A person’s body-weight set point is thought to be established from childhood through adolescence and to remain relatively stable thereafter. However, it has also been suggested that it may shift in response to major environmental changes such as marriage, childbirth, or migration.
Currently, set-point theory has become an important framework for explaining why body weight is not regulated solely by willpower or simple calorie calculations.
(3)Limitations of the set-point model
The set-point model, which proposes that body weight is regulated within a certain range, does not fully explain the sharp rise in obesity observed primarily in Western countries since the 1970s. In response to this limitation, some researchers have suggested that while metabolic resistance to maintaining weight loss is strong, physiological resistance to sustained fat gain may not persist over the long term.
(4)Questions regarding the high-energy diet hypothesis
Animal studies have reported irreversible weight gain following the long-term consumption of high-energy diets. In humans, however, some individuals remain lean despite consuming similarly high-calorie diets, and the hypothesis does not readily account for phenomena such as weight gain associated with social class or major environmental changes.
(5)Intestinal starvation as an alternative perspective
The recent rise in obesity cannot be fully explained by excess energy intake alone. Irreversible weight gain reflecting an upward shift in the body-weight set point may instead be triggered when the body perceives that “food is scarce.”
Since the 1970s, advances in food processing and the resulting changes in the food environment may have increased the likelihood of a physiological state in which the body perceives that ingested food has been completely digested within the intestinal tract—what I refer to as “intestinal starvation.”
【 Full text 】
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Contents
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- Advances in understanding set-point theory
- Limitations of the set-point model
- Environmental and behavioral factors influencing the body-weight set point
I view the human body as possessing a homeostatic system that attempts to maintain body weight within a certain range, and from this perspective, I believe that the concept of a body-weight set point carries important implications.
In this article, I will discuss the background and challenges of set-point theory, which has received renewed attention in recent years. I believe that understanding the environmental and behavioral factors that may contribute to upward shifts in the body-weight set point is important for addressing the growing problem of obesity.
1. Advances in understanding set-point theory
Obesity and weight loss attempts
♦An obese individual who insists that a lean friend has consistently eaten more than the fat person does, may well be telling the truth.(*snip*)
The group of obese patients who are greatly in need of our understanding are those who keep to a calorie intake of perhaps 1,000 kcal per day, yet lose less than one kg per week. There is no doubt whatsoever that such people exist, and can be studied in a metabolic ward under conditions where 'cheating' is virtually impossible without being detected.
Usually these are middle-aged women who have been perhaps 40 kg overweight, and who have already lost about 20 kg. They are often depressed, hypothermic, and have a low metabolic rate. The nature of this metabolic adaptation to a low-calorie diet is not known (as of 1973), but it is a phenomenon that has been recognized since before the 1920s (J S Garrow, 1973)[1].
♦For obese individuals, a certain amount of weight loss is possible through a range of treatments, but long-term maintenance of weight loss is much more challenging, and in most cases, the weight is regained [2]. In a meta-analysis of 29 long-term weight loss studies, more than half of the lost weight was regained within two years, and by five years, more than 80% of lost weight was regained [3,4].
In addition, studies of those who are successful at sustained weight loss indicate that the maintenance of reduced body fat will probably require close attention to energy intake and expenditure, perhaps for life [5].
Energy expenditure in obesity
♦The hypometabolic thesis had fallen out of favor by 1930, when more accurate calculations of body-surface area indicated that the metabolic rates of obese individuals were normal [6].
♦Total energy expenditure (TEE) in a day consists of three components: diet-induced thermogenesis (DIT), physical activity energy expenditure (PAEE), and resting energy expenditure (REE).
When comparing hypothetical men weighing 100 kg and 70 kg, the man weighing 100 kg has a higher TEE [7].

Breakdown of energy expenditure in average 100-kg and 70-kg men
Contrary to popular belief, people with obesity generally have a higher absolute REE compared to leaner subjects. This is because obesity increases both body fat and metabolically active fat-free mass [7,8].
PAEE can be subdivided into "voluntary exercise" and “activities of daily living.” Despite typically engaging in less physical activity, obese individuals often have a daily energy cost for physical activity similar to that of non-obese individuals since PAEE is proportional to body weight [7,9]. Additionally, due to greater food intake, their DIT also tends to be higher [7].
Dynamic changes in energy expenditure
♦Obesity prevention is often erroneously described as a simple bookkeeping matter of balancing caloric intake and expenditure [10].
In this model, energy intake and expenditure are considered independent parameters determined solely by behavior. It is assumed that an obese person can steadily lose weight by eating less and/or moving more at a rate of one pound for every 3,500 kcal (or one kg for every 7,200 kcal) of accumulated dietary caloric deficit [7,11]. This view has been referred to as a “static model” of weight loss, but it has been shown to be physiologically impossible [7,12].

Static model of weight loss
(Despite being recognized as overly simplistic, the 3,500 kcal rule continues to appear in scientific literature and has been cited in over 35,000 educational weight-loss websites as of 2013.) [12,13]
♦It is now understood that energy intake and expenditure are interdependent variables, influenced by each other and by homeostatic signals triggered by changes in body weight [7,14].
Attempts to alter energy balance through diet or exercise are countered by physiological adaptations that resist weight loss [7].
Body weight set point theory
♦In recent years, the influence of homeostatic control has become increasingly recognized, and growing evidence suggests that the body employs physiological mechanisms to regulate energy balance and maintain body weight around a genetically and environmentally determined set point [12].
In 1953, Kennedy proposed that body fat storage is regulated [15]. In 1982, nutritional researchers William Bennett and Joel Gurin expanded on Kennedy's concept when they developed the set-point theory [16]. The model has been widely adopted, and strengthened particularly after the discovery of leptin in the 1990s [7,12].
When an individual loses weight, the body significantly reduces energy expenditure to a degree that is often greater than predicted based on changes in body composition or the thermic effect of food. This process also causes an increase in appetite through hormonal regulation and alters food preferences through behavioral changes, to drive body weight back toward its set-point range[7,16].

Set-point model of weight loss
♦Weight-loss studies have shown that the magnitude of fat stores in the body is protected by mechanisms mediated by the central nervous system, which adjust energy intake (EI) and expenditure (EE) via signals from adipose tissue, the gastrointestinal tract, and endocrine organs to maintain homeostasis and resist weight change as proposed by the set-point model [12,17].
♦The body's protective metabolic mechanism that attempts to preserve energy stores during an energy crisis is known as adaptive thermogenesis (AT) or metabolic adaptation [7,12].
AT is defined as the underfeeding-associated fall in resting energy expenditure (REE), independent of changes in body composition [12].
♦Maintenance of a 10% or greater reduction in body weight in lean or obese individuals is accompanied by about 20 to 25% decline in 24-hour energy expenditure. This decrease in weight maintenance calories is 10–15% greater than predicted based solely on changes in fat and lean mass [17,18].
Since obese individuals also display these compensatory metabolic adjustments in response to dietary restriction, obesity may be considered a natural physiological state for some people. Experimental studies on obesity in animals similarly suggest a view of obesity as a condition of body energy regulation at an elevated set point [19].
♦A meta-analysis of cross-sectional studies investigating adaptive thermogenesis (AT) by comparing formerly obese subjects who had lost weight with BMI-matched subjects who were never obese, found a 3–5% lower resting energy expenditure (REE) in formerly obese subjects compared to never obese controls [20].
This effect means, for example, that if an obese woman reduced her weight from 100 kg to 70 kg, she would have to consume fewer calories to remain at 70 kg than a woman who had consistently weighed 70 kg [6]. Similar results have been confirmed in animal experiments involving obese and normal-weight rats.
This suggests that the frequent claim made by obese people that they eat the same or less than their lean friends but lose no weight, must be given more credence than it is ordinarily accorded [19].
♦On the other hand, as shown in overfeeding experiments on prisoners in Vermont in the 1960s (Doctor Ethan Sims), weight gain due to temporary overeating also triggers compensatory mechanisms that bring body weight back toward its set-point range.
However, some researchers point out that these may be weaker than the mechanisms that resist weight loss.
This asymmetry could be due to the evolutionary advantage of storing fat to survive during periods of food scarcity or starvation [16,17].

♦In addition, hyperphagia (overeating) has been demonstrated following experimental semi-starvation and short-term underfeeding, which is probably the result of homeostatic signals resulting from the loss of both body fat and lean tissue [7,21].
♦This theory also suggests that a person's body-weight set point is established early in life and remains relatively stable unless altered by specific conditions. However, the set point may change throughout one’s life due to factors such as marriage, childbirth, menopause, aging, and disease [16].
On the other hand, the set-point theory remains hypothetical because the molecular mechanisms involved in set-point regulation have not yet been fully elucidated, and some researchers may consider the theory overly simplistic [16].
2. Limitations of the set-point model
On the other hand, some researchers have pointed out important limitations of the body-weight set-point model.
If a homeostatic system truly exists to maintain body weight within a certain range, a fundamental question arises: why do so many individuals in Western countries continue to gain weight gradually throughout majority of their adult lives? In particular, this model does not adequately explain the increasing prevalence of obesity observed in many societies worldwide since around the 1970s [22].
In response, some researchers have suggested that while metabolic resistance to sustaining a reduced body weight is strong, metabolic resistance to sustained increased adiposity may not be physiologically long-lasting. Indeed, the steady increase in obesity prevalence supports the idea that the human body may be physiologically more permissive of weight gain than of weight loss [17,23].
■Animal studies using rats have shown that during the first 3–4 weeks of exposure to a high-fat diet, increases in energy expenditure and activation of the sympathetic nervous system (SNS) can be observed.
However, these compensatory responses were no longer evident after a few months of high-fat diet consumption [17,24].
Furthermore, another rat study has reported that long-term consumption of highly palatable, high-energy diet—such as potato chips and cheese crackers—led to irreversible weight gain, suggesting an upward shift in the body-weight set point [19,25].

These explanations that continuous consumption of high-calorie diet leads to an increase in the body-weight set point may sound plausible at first. However, in my opinion, if body weight changes in only one direction in response to a single external factor, it can no longer be considered a true “set point.”
Moreover, when this hypothesis is applied to humans, it fails to account for the fact that some individuals remain lean despite frequently consuming similarly high-calorie foods. In practice, several contradictions can be identified, including the following:
(1) Obesity is frequently observed among low-income populations in Western countries, as well as among relatively affluent groups in developing countries [22, 27, 28].
(2) Since the 1950s, the coexistence of undernutrition and obesity within poor populations has been documented worldwide [29].
(3) A substantial number of individuals gain weight following major life or environmental changes—such as entering university, marriage, childbirth, or migration from Asia to Western countries [22].
I propose that upward shifts in the body-weight set point are associated with adaptive responses to intestinal starvation.
The next section provides a more detailed explanation of this mechanism.
3. Environmental and behavioral factors influencing the body-weight set point
At present, many international organizations classify obesity as a chronic disease.
Some researchers interested in the body-weight set-point theory have argued that determining whether obesity, as a chronic condition, is treatable requires a clear understanding of how genetic and environmental factors interact to regulate the set point. At the same time, it is also true that many important environmental and social influences remain insufficiently explained [22].
In this article, I will introduce the concept of “intestinal starvation” as a complementary perspective to address these challenges. The key points are outlined below in four parts.
(1) Limitations of the positive energy balance hypothesis
It is generally assumed that weight gain requires a positive energy balance, and the recent rise in obesity is often explained by increased consumption of high-calorie foods and reduced levels of physical activity. Paradoxically, however, the fact that obesity rates have increased in parallel with the growing prevalence of dieting aimed at weight loss [30] suggests that our current understanding of energy balance may warrant reconsideration [12].
What I want to emphasize is that while short-term weight gain due to overeating can be explained by excess energy intake, long-term and potentially irreversible weight gain may instead be triggered by energy deprivation or by the body’s perception that food is scarce. This pattern is also consistent with the phenomenon in which body weight increases beyond its previous level following experimental starvation or weight-loss dieting.
【Related Articles】The Spread of Dieting May Be Fueling the Rise in Obesity
(2) Changes in digestion and absorption brought about by food processing
It is certainly true that high-calorie foods have become increasingly common since the 1970s. However, an even more important factor affecting the human body may be the rise of food processing—particularly ultra-processing. As food processing advanced, hard-to-digest components were gradually removed, while softer and more easily digestible components became increasingly dominant.

As a result, substantial changes may have occurred in the rate of digestion and absorption, as well as in the gut environment.
Intestinal starvation appears to be associated with the frequent consumption of refined carbohydrates and (ultra-)processed foods, and may help explain both the rise in obesity since the 1970s and why obesity can occur frequently not only in developed countries, but also in certain regions of the developing world.
【Related Article】
The Rise in Obesity is Closely Linked to the Consumption of Ultra-Processed Foods
(3) Intestinal starvation as a multifactorial model
Intestinal starvation is a physiological state that is more likely to occur when four factors overlap simultaneously. This concept provides a framework for understanding obesity as a chronic condition arising from interactions between genetic and environmental factors.
【Related Article】Three (+1) Factors That Accelerate “Intestinal Starvation”
(4) Why does the body resist weight loss in obese individuals?
In cases of weight gain that may reflect an upward shift in the body-weight set point through intestinal starvation, the overall efficiency of nutrient absorption may increase. In other words, from the perspective of energy homeostasis, the balance point at which energy intake and expenditure are matched may itself shift to a higher level. This perspective may help explain why even obese individuals with substantial body fat often exhibit compensatory metabolic responses to caloric restriction.
【Related Article】How Intestinal Starvation Can Lead to Weight Gain
As mentioned in the section 2, an animal study in rats reported that 90 days of exposure to a “high-energy diet” resulted in irreversible weight gain suggestive of an upward shift in the body-weight set point (Rolls et al., 1980). However, the “fattening diet” used in this experiment consisted mainly of commercially available, highly palatable foods such as potato chips, cheese crackers, and cookies [25]. At the same time, these foods were also highly refined carbohydrates and (ultra-)processed foods.
In contrast, the solid chow provided to the control group consisted of cracked grains, soybean meal, fish meal, and similar ingredients, and may have contained larger amounts of less digestible matter, such as dietary fiber and the tough cell walls of plants. In this respect, the composition of the control diet may have resembled that of human diets commonly seen more than 50 years ago.
Therefore, I believe that caution is needed before concluding that the long-term consumption of a high-energy diet directly caused weight gain suggestive of an upward shift in the body-weight set point.
<References>
[1]Garrow JS. Diet and obesity. Proc R Soc Med. 1973 Jul;66(7):642-4. PMID: 4741395; PMCID: PMC1645095.
[2]Wu T, Gao X, Chen M, van Dam RM. Long-term effectiveness of diet-plus-exercise interventions vs. diet-only interventions for weight loss: a meta-analysis. Obes Rev. 2009;10(3):313–323.
[3] Hall KD, Kahan S. Maintenance of Lost Weight and Long-Term Management of Obesity. Med Clin North Am. 2018 Jan;102(1):183-197.
[4]Anderson JW, Konz EC, Frederich RC, Wood CL. Long-term weight-loss maintenance: a meta-analysis of US studies. Am J Clin Nutr. 2001 Nov;74(5):579-84.
[5]Wing RR, Hill JO. Successful weight loss maintenance. Annu Rev Nutr. 2001;21:323-41.
[6]Jou C. The biology and genetics of obesity--a century of inquiries. N Engl J Med. 2014 May 15;370(20):1874-7.
[7]Hall KD, Guo J. Obesity Energetics: Body Weight Regulation and the Effects of Diet Composition. Gastroenterology. 2017 May;152(7):1718-1727.e3.
[8]Nelson KM, Weinsier RL, Long CL, et al. Prediction of resting energy expenditure from fat-free mass and fat mass. Am J Clin Nutr. 1992;56:848–856.
[9]Westerterp KR. Physical activity, food intake, and body weight regulation: insights from doubly labeled water studies. Nutr Rev. 2010;68:148–154.
[10] Levine DI. The curious history of the calorie in U.S. policy: a tradition of unfulfilled promises. Am J Prev Med. 2017;52:125–129.
[11] Hall KD, Chow CC. Why is the 3500 kcal per pound weight loss rule wrong? Int J Obes (Lond). 2013 Dec;37(12):1614.
[12] Egan AM, Collins AL. Dynamic changes in energy expenditure in response to underfeeding: a review. Proc Nutr Soc. 2022 May;81(2):199-212. doi: 10.1017/S0029665121003669. Epub 2021 Oct 4. PMID: 35103583.
[13]Thomas DM, Martin CK, Lettieri S et al. (2013) Can a weight loss of one pound a week be achieved with a 3500-kcal deficit? Commentary on a commonly accepted rule. In Int J Obes 37, 1611–1613.)
[14]Hall KD, Heymsfield SB, Kemnitz JW et al. Energy balance and its components: implications for body weight regulation. Am J Clin Nutr. 2012 Apr;95(4):989-94.
[15]KENNEDY GC. The role of depot fat in the hypothalamic control of food intake in the rat. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 1953 Jan 15;140(901):578-96.
[16] Ganipisetti VM, Bollimunta P. Obesity and Set-Point Theory. 2023 Apr 25. In: StatPearls [Internet]. Treasure Island (FL): StatPearls Publishing; 2024 Jan–. PMID: 37276312.
[17] Rosenbaum M, Leibel RL. Adaptive thermogenesis in humans. Int J Obes (Lond). 2010 Oct;34 Suppl 1(0 1):S47-55.
[18] Leibel R, Rosenbaum M, Hirsch J. Changes in energy expenditure resulting from altered body weight. N Eng J Med. 1995;332:621–28.
[19] Richard E. Keesey, Matt D. Hirvonen, Body Weight Set-Points: Determination and Adjustment, The Journal of Nutrition, Volume 127, Issue 9, 1997, Pages 1875S-1883S, ISSN 0022-3166.
[20]Astrup A, Gøtzsche PC, van de Werken K, et al. Meta-analysis of resting metabolic rate in formerly obese subjects. Am J Clin Nutr. 1999 Jun;69(6):1117-22.
[21] Dulloo AG, Jacquet J, Girardier L. Poststarvation hyperphagia and body fat overshooting in humans: a role for feedback signals from lean and fat tissues. Am J Clin Nutr. 1997;65:717–723.
[22]Speakman JR, Levitsky DA, Allison DB, et al. Set points, settling points and some alternative models: theoretical options to understand how genes and environments combine to regulate body adiposity. Dis Model Mech. 2011 Nov;4(6):733-45.
[23] Schwartz MW, Woods SC, Seeley RJ, et al. Is the energy homeostasis system inherently biased toward weight gain? Diabetes. 2003 Feb;52(2):232-8.
[24] Corbett SW, Stern JS, Keesey RE. Energy expenditure in rats with diet-induced obesity. Am J Clin Nutr. 1986 Aug;44(2):173-80.
[25] Rolls B.J., Rowe E.A., Turner R.C. Persistent obesity in rats following a period of consumption of a mixed high energy diet. J Physiol. 1980 Jan;298:415-27.
[26](Deleted)
[27] Dykes J et al. Socioeconomic gradient in body size and obesity among women: the role of dietary restraint, disinhibition and hunger in the Whitehall II study. International Journal of Obesity 2004 Feb,:262-68.
[28] Poskitt EM. Countries in transition: underweight to obesity non-stop? Ann Trop Paediatr. 2009 Mar;29(1):1-11.
[29] Gary Taubes. 2011. Why we get fat. New York: Anchor Books. Pages 15-32.
[30] Montani JP, Schutz Y, Dulloo AG. Dieting and weight cycling as risk factors for cardiometabolic diseases: who is really at risk? Obes Rev. 2015 Feb;16 Suppl 1:7-18.
2024.06.20
The Overfeeding Experiment Suggests That "Overeating" Is Not the Cause of Obesity
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Contents
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- Can overfeeding experiments make people obese?
- Subsequent overfeeding experiments
- Can metabolism explain this weight regain?
- Difference between obesity and overfeeding experiments: My thoughts
1. Can overfeeding experiments make people obese?
According to George A. Bray (as of 2020, an emeritus professor at Pennington Biomedical Research Center), until the 1960’s, obesity was viewed as a "lack of will power," and many people thought, and some said "if only these patients would push themselves away from the table, they would not have this problem."
With this view of obesity, he reflects that the turning point for obesity being accepted as a bona fide area of academic interest were the studies on overfeeding. Overfeeding studies began to provide valuable insights into the biology of obesity. For Doctor Bray, who was a postdoctoral fellow at the New England Medical Center Hospital in Boston at the time, the excitement that was generated when the Vermont overfeeding studies were first presented in 1968 was unforgettable[1].
This was the case with the overfeeding experiments conducted by Doctor Ethan Sims in the late 1960’s. Until then, it was commonly believed that, "overeating obviously leads to obesity," so few such experiments had been conducted.
According to Dr. Jason Fung, the author of “The Obesity Code,” Dr. Sims recruited lean students at the nearby University of Vermont and encouraged them to eat a lot to gain weight. However, despite what both he and the students had expected, the students did not become obese.
Suspecting that the students might have been increasing their exercise, Dr. Sims changed course. He then recruited convicts at the Vermont State Prison as subjects. Physical activity was strictly controlled, and attendants were present at every meal to ensure the calories-4000 per day-were eaten.
Although the prisoners’ weight initially rose, it then stabilized. While some prisoners gained more than twenty percent of their original body weight, the extent of weight gain varied significantly among them[2] .

Over two hundred days on this overfeeding regimen, twenty inmates gained an average of twenty to twenty-five pounds. (About 10 kg.) However, once the experiment ended and their caloric intake returned to normal, the men had difficulty maintaining the weight gain, and most shed all the weight they had gained relatively easily. The exceptions were two inmates who struggled to lose that weight[3].
At the time, Dr. Bray was allowed to participate as a co-researcher in Dr. Sims' experiment to examine the metabolic changes occurring in adipose tissue during the weight gain that followed overfeeding.
Later, in 1972, he conducted his own overeating experiment, using himself as a guinea pig. Initially, he tried to double what he usually ate at each meal, but he couldn't finish, so he switched to energy-dense foods, such as ice cream.
Over the next ten weeks, he gradually gained ten kilograms, and repeated his tests such as measuring the thermic effect of foods.
But once he stopped stuffing himself, his weight rapidly decreased, returning to his original seventy-five kilograms six weeks later, and he has maintained this weight with no trouble ever since.
Following his self-experiment, the other four volunteers in this study began overeating in the summer of 1972. When the experiment ended, all the volunteers returned to their baseline weight.

Dr.Bray states that this rapid return to normal weight contrasts with the difficulties people with spontaneous obesity have in losing weight, and the even more difficult task of a maintaining a lower weight. Many who develop obesity over years suffer from a different kind of pain than those of us who acutely gain weight by overfeeding. For them, the obesity “slips up” on them and once present, is difficult to reverse.
The history of overfeeding and underfeeding trials and other lines of evidence clearly show that obesity prevention and treatment cannot simply rely on the advice to "eat less and exercise more." [1]
2. Subsequent overfeeding experiments
Alex Leaf (Western States University) and Jose Antonio (Nova Southeastern University) reviewed overfeeding studies conducted up to 2017 that evaluated various combinations of macronutrient overfeeding and its effects on body composition.
They found twenty-five overfeeding studies that reported changes in fat mass (FM) and fat-free mass (FFM), in addition to changes in body weight. The study durations ranged from nine to one hundred days, and all but four were conducted in sedentary populations[4]. Notably, the objectives of each study varied, and not all mentioned weight loss following the end of the experiments.
To give a few examples, a study on identical twins was published in 1990.
■Bouchard (Laval University, Canada) et. al. recruited twelve pairs of young adult male identical twins (twenty-four individuals) with no exercise habits. Each participant's energy requirements were measured during a two-week base-line period, and after that, they were overfed by 1000 kcal per day (comprising 15% protein, 35% fat, and 50% carbohydrates), six days per week, for a total of eighty-four days during a one hundred-day period. The men were housed in a closed section of a university dormitory, and were under supervision by staff all day.

The mean weight gain was 8.1 kg, of which 67% was fat mass (FM). However, the weight gain varied widely among participants, ranging from 4.3 to 13.3 kg[5].
Four months after the experiment ended, the twins' average weight was 61.7 kg, which was only 1.3 kg higher than their baseline weight of 60.4 kg, indicating they had almost returned to their original weight[1].
■Conford (University of Michigan) et. al. conducted a study in 2012 involving nine healthy, non-obese adults (seven men and two women). The participants were admitted to the hospital for two weeks, during which time they ate 4000 kcals per day (comprising 15% protein, 35% fat, and 50% carbohydrates). Their energy requirements were determined during a one-week baseline period before the start of the experiment. In addition to three main meals, they had four snacks each day. The average weight gain was 2.1 kg, of which 67 % was fat mass (FM).[6]
The summary of this review indicates that overfeeding healthy, sedentary adults with a diet moderately high in both carbohydrates and fats (35-50% energy intake each) and low in protein (11-15%) primarily results in a gain in fat mass (FM), which accounts for 60-70 % of the weight gain. Additionally, the increase in fat-free mass (FFM) may be due to an increase in body water content rather than skeletal muscle tissue. In contrast, diets with significantly increased protein intake showed favorable changes in body composition, even with increased energy intake[4].
3. Can metabolism explain this weight regain?
Why did the participant’s weight rapidly return to normal over the ensuing weeks when they stopped overeating?
According to Dr. Bray, one of the striking findings in this Vermont study was that to maintain the weight they gained after overfeeding, they required more energy per unit surface area than before weight gain. When Dr. Bray moved to the University of California in 1970, his new lab began operating to explore his hypothesis about why extra energy was required to maintain the increased weight[1].
■Leibel (Rockefeller University) et. al. conducted a study in 1995 involving eighteen obese (BMI of 28 or higher) subjects (Group A) and twenty-three subjects who had never been obese (Group B).
They measured changes in energy expenditure under three conditions: at their usual body weight, after losing more than 10 percent of their body weight by underfeeding, and after gaining 10 percent of their body weight by overfeeding.
When maintaining a body weight at a level 10% or more below their initial weight, the total energy expenditure decreased by 8±5 kcal per kilogram per day in Group A and by 6±3 kcal in Group B.
Conversely, when maintaining a body weight at a level 10% above their initial weight, total energy expenditure increased by 8±4 kcal in Group A and by 9±7 kcal in Group B.

The study concluded that maintenance of a reduced weight or elevated body weight is associated with compensatory changes in energy expenditure, which resist maintaining the altered body weight and function to restore the original weight. This suggests that the long-term effectiveness of obesity treatment through caloric reduction may be limited[7].
4. Difference between obesity and overfeeding experiments: My thoughts
As Dr. Bray mentioned, I also believe that weight gain from temporary excessive caloric intake is due to body mechanisms entirely different from those underlying fundamental obesity. If compensatory metabolic mechanisms resist changes in body weight, why do some people continue to gain weight?
As I have repeatedly mentioned through this blog, the difference between people who are overweight and lean can be explained by the difference in set-point for body weight. (One's set-point weight goes up through intestinal starvation.)
For example, suppose a person who normally weighs a stable sixty kg is temporarily overfed and reaches sixty-three kg.
This can be compared to a glass of water that is usually filled to about 97% now being filled to 100%, and then surface tension causing the water to rise above the rim.
Conversely, maintaining a weight of fifty-six kg by eating less is like the water level temporarily decreasing, causing a dip in the surface of the water.
In both cases, the set-point weight has not changed.

In contrast, if a person who originally weighs sixty kg gradually gains weight over several years, and then maintains a stable weight of ninety kg, this indicates that the set-point weight itself has increased, meaning the glass has grown larger, with energy balancing at a higher level.

Today, we are sometimes said to be living in an "obesogenic environment" that promotes obesity, but that does not necessarily mean consuming high-calorie foods or living sedentary lifestyles. As some researchers have already mentioned, calorie counting is clearly of little significance. Changes in caloric intake only lead to temporary weight gain or loss.
Rader, the "obesogenic environment" in my opinion is related to foods that are overly digestible foods (refined carbohydrates, fast food, processed foods, etc.) and an imbalanced diet (lack of vegetables, etc.). When these factors overlap with some other conditions such as skipping breakfast or eating late dinners, intestinal starvation is more likely to be induced.
Of course, researchers will say that in order to gain weight, more energy must be taken into the body than before. For more on why intestinal starvation leads to greater energy intake and weight gain, please refer to the article below.
[Related article] Gaining Weight by Intestinal Starvation; What Does It Mean?
<References>
[1]Bray GA. The pain of weight gain: self-experimentation with overfeeding. Am J Clin Nutr. 2020 Jan 1;111(1):17-20.
[2] Fung J, The Obesity Code, Greystone books, 2016, P114-116.
[3] Jou C. The biology and genetics of obesity--a century of inquiries. N Engl J Med. 2014 May 15;370(20):1874-7.
[4] Leaf A, Antonio J. The Effects of Overfeeding on Body Composition: The Role of Macronutrient Composition. Int J Exerc Sci. 2017 Dec 1;10(8):1275-1296.
[5] Bouchard C et al. The response to long-term overfeeding in identical twins. N Engl J Med. 1990 May 24;322(21):1477-82.
[6] Cornford AS et al. Rapid development of systemic insulin resistance with overeating is not accompanied by robust changes in skeletal muscle glucose and lipid metabolism. Appl Physiol Nutr Metab. 2013 May;38(5):512-9.
[7] Leibel RL et al. Changes in energy expenditure resulting from altered body weight. N Engl J Med. 1995 Mar 9;332(10):621-8.
2016.03.15
The Two Distinct Processes Behind Weight Gain
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Contents
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- When body weight returns to its original set point (A)
- When the body-weight set point itself increases (B)
- The coexistence of mechanisms A and B in weight gain
In everyday conversation, weight gain is often understood simply as “an increase in body weight (usually body fat)” compared with the past. However, this expression may lump together multiple processes that are physiologically distinct.
To make the discussion easier to follow, the complex phenomena involved in weight gain are deliberately divided here into two processes as a hypothetical framework.
For example, the idea that eating high-calorie foods leads to weight gain is widely shared. In contrast, understanding phenomena such as weight rebound after dieting—sometimes resulting in greater weight gain than before—requires a more explicitly physiological perspective.
I believe that because these qualitatively different processes of weight gain have often been discussed without clear distinction, misleading information about weight loss may have spread, leading many people to engage in dieting practices that are not necessarily appropriate or effective.
【Related article】
The Increasingly Important "Set-Point" Theory of Body Weight
1. When body weight returns to its original set point (A)
The first type of “weight gain” reflects, and arises as part of, the body’s homeostatic drive to return to its set point (Fig. 1A).
Many people who are overweight, or tend to gain weight easily, deliberately try to keep their body weight lower by reducing their daily caloric intake and/or increasing physical activity.

Fig. 1. The two distinct processes of weight gain
Under such conditions, the body often acts in the direction of restoring the set point for body weight. So it is no surprise that if they begin eating more and caloric intake increases, their weight naturally increases.
(Note: Temporary overeating may cause body weight to increase slightly beyond the body-weight set point. However, such weight gain is typically transient and is unlikely to reflect a true change in the set point itself.)
In many countries, people often talk about “holiday weight gain” or say that high-calorie foods inevitably make them gain weight. Some also claim, “I gain weight as soon as I eat a little more.”
But in most cases, these experiences can be explained by the homeostatic mechanism that pulls body weight back toward its set point—meaning that the person is simply repeating small cycles of “mini-diets” followed by “mini-rebounds.”
A helpful analogy is a glass of water: the water level may rise or fall temporarily, but the size of the glass itself does not change(Fig. 2).
Similarly, when temporary overeating pushes body weight slightly above the set point, it is like water swelling above the rim of a full glass due to surface tension.

Fig. 2. The glass-of-water analogy (1)
2. When the body-weight set point itself increases (B)
In contrast, the second type of “weight gain” refers to cases in which the body-weight set point itself gradually increases (Fig. 1B).
I propose that an upward shift in the body-weight set point is associated with the body’s adaptive responses to perceived starvation. Broadly speaking, the body is thought to perceive starvation through two major pathways: one is a severe energy deficit caused by excessive caloric restriction, and the other is what I describe in this blog as “intestinal starvation.”
【Related article】
Biological Responses Driving Weight Rebound After Weight Loss
Here, I will focus on the latter—cases in which an increase in the body-weight set point is thought to be primarily associated with intestinal starvation.
This pattern can be observed in people who are mindful of their caloric intake and keep breakfast or lunch light—such as opting for a simple burger or sandwich, or instant noodles—yet still find themselves saying, “I’ve gained three kilos over the past year,” or “I’m ten kilos heavier than I was three years ago.”
This phenomenon cannot be adequately explained by simple calorie balance alone. Rather, it suggests the possible involvement of intestinal starvation—which may be induced during prolonged periods of hunger—as well as other regulatory mechanisms in elevating the body-weight set point.
For example, imagine someone who had never exceeded 70 kg but, over the course of a year, reaches a new high and stabilizes around 75 kg.
In this situation, the body-weight set point can be considered to have shifted upward from 70 kg to 75 kg, meaning that the baseline at which energy intake and expenditure are balanced has itself moved higher.
An increase in the body-weight set point can be likened, in the glass-of-water analogy introduced earlier, to the glass itself gradually becoming larger (Fig. 3).

Fig. 3. The glass-of-water analogy (2)
Such a shift may contribute to more fundamental differences between individuals who tend to gain weight easily and those who remain lean.
Indeed, research on set-point theory suggests that, for some individuals, obesity may represent a “natural physiological state” in which energy balance is stably maintained at a relatively high set point for body weight[1].
3. The coexistence of mechanisms A and B in weight gain
In real-world weight gain and post-diet rebound, the mechanism for maintaining body weight (A) and the mechanism by which the set point itself increases (B) often operate simultaneously or in an overlapping manner.
For example, the common observation that most people return to their original weight after dieting can be understood as the result of a homeostatic, weight-preserving mechanism (A) described above.
In contrast, when body weight not only returns to baseline but also exceeds the previous level, a mechanism (B) that raises the set point itself may be involved. This is because, during the process of caloric restriction, conditions may arise under which the body comes to perceive itself as being in a state of starvation.
■Sumo wrestlers in Japan are well known for eating large meals and becoming very heavy. In reality, however, their weight gain can be understood as involving a combination of mechanisms (A) and (B) described above.

Specifically, their weight gain can be explained by a model in which the body-weight set point first increases through intestinal starvation (B), after which actual body weight rises toward this elevated set point as a result of increased food intake, consistent with mechanism (A).
From the outside, it may simply appear that they become heavier because they eat a lot.
However, the underlying process can be considered fundamentally similar to the mechanism observed in people who regain weight after dieting and ultimately become heavier than before.
【Related article】
Why Are Sumo Wrestlers So Fat?; Six Reasons They’ve Adapted to the Gut Starvation Mechanism
<References>
[1] Richard E. Keesey, Matt D. Hirvonen, Body Weight Set-Points: Determination and Adjustment, The Journal of Nutrition, Volume 127, Issue 9, 1997, Pages 1875S-1883S, ISSN 0022-3166.
2016.03.03
The Set-Point Weight; The Precondition Regarding the Rebound Effect
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Contents
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- Each person has the ability to maintain their present condition
- Encounter with the set-point theory
1. Each person has the ability to maintain their present condition
First of all, I want to explain the most important point. It's the assumption that each person has the ability to maintain their present condition, also known as preserving current stasis in the body.
I recognize that this is the precondition of everyone regarding weight control.

For example, there are three women:
(A) 48kg・・・who can't gain weight even if she eats a lot.
(B) 58kg・・・who can easily gain two kilos if she lets her guard down and eats a little more.
(C) 85kg・・・ 〃
All through the year, we get thinner when we are busy, and we gain a little fat when we aren’t active and eat a lot. Although everyone repeats the same pattern, even if we don't calculate calories strictly, the body shape of person won't change so easily. Fat people are fat and thin people are thin.
In other words, I believe that each person has a stable weight based on their body's homeostatic functions, which I initially defined as their "base weight."
[Base weight] = The stable weight one returns to after spending 3-5 days relaxing without excessive exercise or work, while consuming calories based on their daily energy needs.
However, despite the lack of official proof or definition, some researchers have already used the concepts of 'set-point weight.' Additionally, my "base weight" can be confused with "baseline weight," which is used in some studies. Therefore, I will use 'set-point weight' or ‘set-point’ for body weight going forward."
In this example, Person A's set-point weight is forty-eight kilograms. However, for Persons B and C, the weights they quickly revert to when they let their guard down and eat a lot—sixty kilograms and eighty-seven kilograms, respectively—can be considered their actual set-point weight. This means that their homeostatic functions are working to maintain those weights.
So, it’s difficult to assume a person’s body and weight condition only with caloric intake.
Consider the example above, that if A continues an intake of 100kcal over her recommended daily caloric intake every day for several months or years, the assumption is that it will accumulate into fat and she will eventually gain weight up to the eighty-kilogram level. This is wrong (She might gain weight but that is a different mechanism).
In general, people who are overweight are more likely to be restricting calories and eating modestly, so their current weight is often lower than their set-point weight. On the other hand, thin people don't have caloric restrictions, so their current weight and their set-point weight are often close. (Temporary overeating may lead to further weight gain beyond the body’s set-point, but I believe this weight gain is temporary and does not alter one’s set- point weight.)


Therefore, ‘thin A’ won't gain weight even if she eats a lot, and B and C will gain weight immediately as soon as they eat a lot.
▽Example of Hozumi Hasegawa, the professional boxer who defended his title ten times as the twenty-sixth Champion of WBC World bantamweight class.
The Bantamweight limit is fifty-three-point-five kilograms(53.5kg). As his body got older, losing weight became harder. For a defending match, he had to lose more than ten kilograms in a month.

But, as soon as the match was over and he started to eat, his weight increased ten kilograms in a few days. The rate of going back to his set-point weight was fast. Those who have tried diets and eat less than usual might have experienced this. Often, it's called the rebound effect.
2. Encounter with the set-point theory
Most of us do not consciously adjust our daily energy intake and expenditure. Nevertheless, an individual's body weight remains relatively stable.
Individual body weight variance is typically only 0.5% over periods of 6 to 10 weeks[1,2] (Khosha and Billewicz 1964). According to cross-sectional data, weight changes over longer periods of time are still modest, and even diabetic individuals display coefficients of body weight variation of only 3.7– 4.6% over a period of five years[1,3] (Goodner and Oglive 1974).
With the global increase in obesity since the 1970’s, these coefficients of body weight variation may no longer be as accurate. However, many people still stay lean (especially in Asia), and, in fact, even those who are overweight or obese manage to maintain their weight, heavy as they may be, for many years[4].
In other words, despite some fluctuations in weight in daily life, there must be an internal regulatory mechanism that works to keep weight and fat within a certain range over the long haul.
■In recent years, the role of homeostatic regulation has been acknowledged, and there is growing evidence that the body employs physiological mechanisms to control energy balance and maintain body weight at a genetically and environmentally determined "set-point."[5]
When a person loses weight, the body substantially lowers energy expenditure, often more than expected based on changes in body composition or the thermic effect of food.
Additionally, it triggers hormonal changes that increase appetite and modifies food preferences through behavioral adaptations, aiming to restore body weight to its set-point range[6].
This feedback mechanism is known to apply not only to weight loss but also to temporary overeating[7].

When I started writing this blog, I had no knowledge of the theory about the body's "set-point," but it almost aligned with what I had always believed. I now believe that understanding the set-point theory is crucial in preventing the spread of obesity and proposing effective weight loss methods.
In particular, to explain the global rise in obesity since the 1970’s, I believe it is essential to understand how (I) genetic and biological factors, and (II) environmental and behavioral factors combine to increase the body’s set-point for weight. I believe my intestinal starvation theory can contribute to this understanding.
For more details, please refer to the articles below.
[Related article]
The Increasingly Important "Set-Point" Theory of Body Weight
References:
[1]Richard E. Keesey, Matt D. Hirvonen. Body Weight Set-Points: Determination and Adjustment. The Journal of Nutrition, Volume 127, Issue 9, 1997, Pages 1875S-1883S, ISSN 0022-3166.
[2]KHOSLA T, BILLEWICZ WZ. MEASUREMENT OF CHANGE IN BODY-WEIGHT. Br J Nutr. 1964;18:227-39.
[3]Goodner CJ, Ogilvie JT. Homeostasis of body weight in a diabetes clinic population. Diabetes 1974 Apr;23(4):318-26.
[4] Gary Taubes. 2011. Why we get fat. New York: Anchor books, Page 59.
[5]Egan AM, Collins AL. Dynamic changes in energy expenditure in response to underfeeding: a review. Proc Nutr Soc. 2022 May;81(2):199-212. doi: 10.1017/S0029665121003669. Epub 2021 Oct 4. PMID: 35103583.
[6]Ganipisetti VM, Bollimunta P. Obesity and Set-Point Theory. 2023 Apr 25. In: StatPearls [Internet]. Treasure Island (FL): StatPearls Publishing; 2024 Jan–. PMID: 37276312.
[7]Bray GA.The pain of weight gain: self-experimentation with overfeeding. Am J Clin Nutr. 2020 Jan 1;111(1):17-20.

